Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.333108 0.387392 0.447288 0.518221 0.599873 0.690862 0.799894
2025-04-27 0.255082 0.331340 0.424593 0.546726 0.702168 0.893085 1.145066
2025-05-04 0.209163 0.294076 0.405806 0.562946 0.777561 1.059657 1.457760
2025-05-11 0.175186 0.262925 0.385532 0.568320 0.832697 1.199791 1.746523
2025-05-18 0.148104 0.235373 0.363908 0.565499 0.871919 1.317979 2.013779
2025-05-25 0.126063 0.211017 0.342235 0.557654 0.900009 1.419873 2.264905
2025-06-01 0.109286 0.191879 0.325136 0.553234 0.930748 1.526389 2.531360
2025-06-08 0.093014 0.170876 0.301792 0.534890 0.935676 1.591143 2.736243
2025-06-15 0.088345 0.168954 0.309532 0.568692 1.029497 1.807226 3.207953
2025-06-22 0.076323 0.152025 0.289008 0.550546 1.031522 1.869295 3.424808
2025-06-29 0.066314 0.137345 0.270494 0.533356 1.032518 1.928366 3.640338
2025-07-06 0.058181 0.125096 0.254841 0.519300 1.037063 1.993069 3.870592
2025-07-13 0.053181 0.118620 0.249772 0.525559 1.081791 2.137544 4.266559
2025-07-20 0.050895 0.117522 0.255274 0.553545 1.172107 2.376810 4.866890
2025-07-27 0.047684 0.113935 0.255174 0.569924 1.240721 2.580501 5.417308
2025-08-03 0.043861 0.108403 0.250226 0.575361 1.287119 2.744262 5.903153
2025-08-10 0.039824 0.101762 0.241980 0.572506 1.315329 2.873244 6.329189
2025-08-17 0.035886 0.094767 0.232030 0.564568 1.331413 2.978159 6.714161
2025-08-24 0.032628 0.088956 0.224050 0.560095 1.354504 3.099639 7.145167
2025-08-31 0.028876 0.081321 0.210779 0.541533 1.343285 3.145347 7.414494
2025-09-07 0.028501 0.082487 0.219012 0.575737 1.458780 3.481884 8.362228
2025-09-14 0.025351 0.075695 0.206571 0.557376 1.446706 3.528869 8.655642
2025-09-21 0.022600 0.069583 0.195076 0.539981 1.434977 3.575232 8.951350